In what it claims is an independent  and  systematic  assessment  of  the performance of the present administration against its 222 campaign promises, the Center for Democracy and Development (CDD) Buharimeter project has praised and delivered hard knocks from Nigerians to the administration for moving the country forward, and for breaking five cardinal promises.
The two years’ assessment report last week reveals that five of the campaign promises have not and cannot be  achieved  by  the  administration.  They are:
*The commitment to end medical tourism, which has become a routine feat of President Muhammad Buhari, who is presently being treated in London for an undisclosed ailment;
*The creation of three million jobs annually;
*Provision of steady power supply to Nigerians between 12 and 18 months of the administration coming into power;
*The building of one million new houses a year over the next decades; and
*Immediate increase of the national budget to the health sector from 5.5% to 10%.
The fulfilled promises are:
*The public declaration of assets and liabilities(though the details are yet to be publicly released);
*Presentation of National Anti-Corruption Strategy; establishment of a good working relationship with state governments in the North East, neighbouring  countries  and  the  international  community  in  the  fight  against  Boko Haram;
*Introduction of time-limited partial amnesty to rank and file of Boko Haram members;
*Review of health  policy;
*Introduction  of  social  insurance  scheme;  and
*Review  of  the  structure  of  Joint Venture  Companies  and  ensuring  transparent  tendering  process,  not  managed  by  federal ministers.
The report reads in part:
According to the findings, the performance of the incumbent administration improved during its second year in government. This may be partly because the government began  to  implement  promises,  having  had  time to  prepare  for  outlined  programmes  and determine which resources are required.
Furthermore, ministers who were not appointed until November 2015 began work in Year Two. However, the government’s approach needs to be wholistic and not limited to fighting corruption, tackling insecurity and pursuing a diversification agenda.
While these  are  important for  the  socio-economic  and  political development  of  the country, commensurate effort should be made to revive education, health and other key sectors.The Buharimeter report draws its strength from a well-defined methodological framework. The 222 election pledges are carefully sourced from 1)  APC Manifesto: An Honest Contract with Nigeria; 2) My Covenant with Nigeria released by the Campaign Team of the APC Presidential Candidate, Muhammadu Buhari; and 3) Unrefuted media reports including national newspaper reports and electronic media reports (television and radio) on election promises made by the President during campaign tours across the country.
Data for analysis is also sourced through review of relevant policy documents and reports, fact checking, on the spot visits, interviews of government officials and experts, surveys and media tracking. We employ a ranking system forrating performance per tracked promise, which rates promises as either ‘achieved’, ‘ongoing’, ‘broken’ or ‘not rated’….
A comparative  analysis of the performance of PMB in his first two years shows  significant progress in terms of promises rated as ‘achieved’ and ‘ongoing’. In the first year Buharimeter report  released  in  July  2016,  it  was  reported  that  overall  performance  was low,  with  the government having achieved only one out of 222 campaign promises, while progress was made towards fulfilling 45 of the promises.
However, performance has reasonably improved within the year under review. The total number of achieved and ongoing election pledges has increased from 1 to 7, and 45 to 114 respectively in year one and year two.
The report also reveals that promises rated as ‘Not rated’ decreased from 179 to 96. Security sees improvements but more needs to be done for education and health.
The  report  indicates  that  government  emphasis  in  the  last  two  years  has  been  on  security.
Corruption, agriculture, oil and gas, social safety net and industrialisation have seen progress, but there have been no corresponding interventions in sectors including education, health, sports and culture, women and youth empowerment.
As such, these sectors have performed poorly.
It is particularly worrying that despite milestones recorded in the fight against corruption there are still genuine concerns over how the war is being prosecuted. In particular, the anti-graft war is rife with a lack of viable instruments to enforce compliance.
It also continues to be prosecuted in an uncoordinated and disjointed manner by several institutions, including the Department of State Security, police, Â EFCC and ICPC, among others. These institutions need better coordination and increased understanding of their roles and responsibilities.
Other challenges include the unlawful detention of suspects and refusal to obey court rulings.
Even so, the approval rating of the anti-corruption war in the Buharimeter Perception Survey conducted by the Buharimeter stands fairly high at 52%; the greater proportion of Nigerians who expressed satisfaction are resident in North West (80%), North East (61%) and North Central (55%).
The newly introduced whistle blowing policy, which has helped in the recovery of looted funds, is also popularly received by Nigerians, with 47% of the sampled population in the Buharimeter Survey applauding it.
However, it is crucial that a substantive legal framework be immediately provided to strengthen citizens’ engagement in the process.
In terms of fighting insecurity, the government appears to have begun to shift from the state and enemy-centric approach to an approach which uses dialogue and negotiation. While this may achieve laudable results in the case of the Niger Delta, caution should be exercised in employing such a strategy to deal with Boko Haram.
It is recommended that the government adopts an approach which balances the rights of both victims and perpetrators.
The report calls on the government to prioritise dealing with ongoing agitations for a state of Biafra. The government should go beyond dialogue and intervention in redressing economic and other development issues in the region, by acknowledging the local grievances from the Biafran War and charting a path towards memorialisation and healing.
According to the report, there have been several violations of human rights, due process and lackof respect for the rule of law since the Buhari administration came into office.
The government’s refusal to obey several court orders demanding the release of  retired Colonel Sambo Dasuki,Sheik  Ibraheem  El-Zakzaky  and  his  wife  Zeenat  is  a  serious  blight  on  the  administration’s commitment to the rule of law.
The laxity of the administration in responding to several violent conflicts  erupting  across  the  country  is  a  source  of  concern  for  citizens.  For  instance,  the pastoralist/farmer conflicts plaguing all the six geo-political zones of the country have recorded numerous casualties.
In Benue State alone, between 4th August 2015 and 25th April 2017, 37 incidents of pastoralist/farmer conflicts were reported with an estimate of 612 deaths recorded.
There is no doubt that restoring Nigeria’s economy is a priority for the administration.
However, its  inability  to  translate  several  monetary  and  fiscal  policies  to  economic  growth  and development in the last two years raises some concerns.
Even  the interest rate regime in the monetary market has not made any meaningful impact on the all-time inflation rate.
As revealed in the Buharimeter Survey report, in spite of the government’s efforts to tackle the economic recession, most Nigerians do not believe these approaches are effective. Only 17% and 1% of Nigerians consider government’s approach to tackling the economic recession very effective and extremely effective, respectively. 46% and 36% of surveyed Nigerians consider the government’s approach somewhat effective.
The recession continues to impact negatively on the country’s employment and poverty rate as well as food inflation.
The Buharimeter Survey further reveals that 9 in 10 Nigerians believe that the  recession  has  resulted  in  ‘high  cost  of  foodstuffs’  (90%)  followed  by  ‘high cost  of transportation’ (61%), ‘high cost of house rent and utilities’ (56%) and ‘high cost of school fees’(55%),  among  others, which  have  altogether  affected  their  household  negatively.
The government’s measures to address poverty and the unemployment rate are made less effective by politicised selection process (especially at state level), inconsistency in registered name and bank details, supply of wrong bank details, improper registration, lack of effective coordination arising from inexperienced focal persons in states, and failure of beneficiaries to present themselves for physical verification. While it is crucial for government to address all these, it is also important that a commensurate effort should be made to revive education, health and other key sectors.
Majority of Nigerians give Buhari the thumbs up.
Despite the problems articulated above, the Buharimeter Perception Survey reveals that 57% of surveyed  Nigerians  approve  of  the  job  performance  of  President  Buhari,  while  40%  do  not approve of his job performance.
Significantly, the 57% job approval has a regional dimension, with those from the northern region viewing Buhari more favourably. While respondents from the North West (85%) and North East (66%) constitute the majority of those who approve of his performance, respondents from the South East (72%) and South South (60%) make up those who do not approve of his performance.
As President Buhari  has not been  seen publicly since May 2017, much uncertainty remains regarding  the  next  stage  of  his  presidency.